欧洲铁骑迷之悲剧！被进两球就一定输，唯一解药是熬到2018？

1 月2日报道：

美轮美奂的万达大都会球场，却无法给马竞带来好运。2017-18赛季欧冠小组赛第4轮，马竞坐镇主场1-1战平阿塞拜疆冠军卡拉巴赫。4轮过后，马竞仅拿到3分，被罗马(羅馬,Eurobasket Roma)(8分)、切尔西(7分)远远甩在身后。马竞晋级欧冠16强仅存在理论上的可能性，西蒙尼打造的这支欧洲铁军，为何变成无牙的老虎？

从9月底欧冠主场1-2负于切尔西开始，马竞陷入严重的进球荒。8场比赛，马竞1胜6平1负，只打进6球，没有一场比赛进球超过1，马竞近期非0即1的进球表现，也被球迷们调侃称“二进制进球法”。马竞近期的攻击力有多惨？这样对比就十分明显，世界杯预选赛亚洲区12强赛里，国足在10场比赛里打入8球，场均0.8的进球率甚至超过了马竞进8场比赛的表现（场均0.75球），我们看看马竞这6个进球的分布：

欧冠-马竞1-2切尔西，格里兹曼点球；

西甲(西甲,ACB)-莱加内斯0-0马竞；

西甲-马竞1-1巴萨，萨乌尔世界波；

欧冠-卡拉巴赫0-0马竞；

西甲-塞尔塔0-1马竞，加梅罗角球混战破门；

西甲-埃尔切1-1马竞，托马斯头球；

西甲-马竞1-1比利亚雷亚尔 格里兹曼助攻科雷亚；

欧冠-马竞1-1卡拉巴赫，托马斯世界波。

1个多月来，马竞的8场比赛才打进6球，其中还有2粒是定位球，2粒是球员个人能力爆表的世界波，面对马竞进攻乏力的现状，西蒙尼也无法拿出锦囊妙计。这8场比赛，格里兹曼仅打进1个点球，加梅罗也仅有1球进账。比利时盘带王卡拉斯科深受膝伤困扰，中场核心科克也有半个月未能出场。马竞的局势，实在令人担忧。

马竞本季仅8人有进球，队内射手王科雷亚只有4球，格里兹曼只有3球

头号球星格里兹曼的状态，与马竞的走势完美契合：2016-17赛季进行到11月份时，格里兹曼在西甲贡献6球4助攻，欧冠2球1助攻；本赛季迄今为止，格子西甲仅有2球2助攻，欧冠1球1助攻。

上赛季的马竞，格里兹曼是当家人物，加梅罗、科克、科雷亚、卡拉斯科、托雷斯也都能做出贡献，如今要么受伤病困扰，要么哑火找不到感觉。从数据上看，马竞本赛季的射正率丝毫不逊色与上赛季，上赛季西甲和欧冠赛场，马竞射正率51%和45%，本赛季的数字是49%和47%，这样的差别几乎可以忽略不计。

但在得分率方面，马竞下滑的就极为明显，以头号射手格里兹曼为例，本赛季法国前锋在西甲前10轮出场8次完成18脚打门，其中11次射正，但只有2球入账，射门得分率11%。上赛季同期（10轮过后）的数据则是9次出场射门21次，射正13次，打入6球，射门得分率28.6%。

本赛季马竞西甲赛场射门示意图

本赛季格里兹曼西甲赛场射门示意图

今年夏天的引援禁令，对马竞来说是致命打击。FIFA认定，马竞违反未成年球员转会的规定，2017年1月、2017年7月的两个转会窗口无法进行新援注册。马竞单薄的阵容，很难撑起三线作战，尤其是在科克、卡拉斯科等大将遭遇伤病的情况下。谁都清楚，马竞的进攻实际上只有两个强点：格里兹曼和萨乌尔，在没有中场的强力支援下，对方更容易切断格-萨连线。一旦这两个点被锁死，马竞等于是被砍断双翼。

这样的现象在数据上同样有体现，本赛季马竞的场均射门数和创造机会数量均因此有着严重下滑，本赛季前10轮过后，马竞场均创造8次机会，射门11.4次，上赛季的数字分别是场均创造11.7次机会，完成15.9脚射门。因此，尽管马竞基本保持着射门准星，但科克等人的缺阵却让前锋们难以获得从容起脚的机会，直接导致进攻火力下滑。

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-->

马竞进攻数据对比

17-18赛季（前10轮）

16-17赛季（前10轮）

场均射门数

11.4

15.9

场均创造机会数

8

11.7

射正率

49%

50%

进球数

15

25

控球率

48%

53

一直以高效、简练著称的马竞，射门成功率之低在前日结束的欧冠比赛中体现的更加明显。欧冠4场比赛，马竞的射门次数达到惊人的79次，但只打进2球。

对阵卡拉巴赫，西蒙尼的球队35次轰炸，射正11次，却只收获1球。相比之下，卡拉巴赫的效率高得多，4次射门3次射正1个进球。首回合0-0平卡拉巴赫，马竞12次射门仅有3次射正，准星严重不足。

科斯塔和比托洛能否拯救陷入困境的床单军团

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眼下，西蒙尼只能期待科克早日回归，激活格里兹曼、加梅罗；也要熬到1月份FIFA禁令解除，“盛世美颜”迭戈-科斯塔、比托洛两大强援助阵……